TennisEdge's AI bot is backing E. Jones (moneyline) at 2.24 in D. Yastremska vs E. Jones (Guangzhou on 2026-10-25). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Yastremska | E. Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
56.9% | 43.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
50.7% | 49.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
48.4% | 51.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.0% | 48.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.9% | 39.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Yastremska | hard | 1690 | 92–90 | 182 |
| E. Jones | hard | 1691 | 101–55 | 156 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 3, 2026.
D. Yastremska leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 25, 2026 | Guangzhou | hard | D. Yastremska | 2 - 0 |
| L | Z. Sonmez | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | H. Shi | 2 - 0 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | K. Volynets | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| W | E. Jones | 2 - 0 | Oct. 25, 2026 |
| W | X. You | 2 - 1 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
All Oct. 25, 2026 results & picks →