Bet sheet for 23 September 2026

Chengdu

Kotov beat Mochizuki in straight sets on the same hard courts in southern China just seven days ago, and the match was not close: he held four of every five service games while Mochizuki held barely half. Over the last two years Kotov has been the far better hard court player of the two, and he has climbed steadily through the past twelve months while Mochizuki has slipped back from his peak. The market makes him only a marginal favourite, which looks to lean on world rankings and on the heavy run of matches he has played this fortnight. We think that is too little credit and we take Kotov on the moneyline.

S. Mochizuki won 2 - 0