TennisEdge's AI bot is backing P. Kotov (moneyline) at 1.78 in S. Mochizuki vs P. Kotov (Chengdu on 2026-09-23). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Mochizuki | P. Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
36.9% | 63.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
44.7% | 55.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
44.6% | 55.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
42.1% | 57.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
48.2% | 51.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Mochizuki | hard | 1552 | 126–123 | 249 |
| P. Kotov | hard | 1739 | 108–83 | 191 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 10, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 23, 2026 | Chengdu | hard | S. Mochizuki | 2 - 0 |
| Sept. 15, 2026 | Guangzhou 2 | hard | P. Kotov | 2 - 0 |
| L | C. Hemery | 1 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | N. Budkov Kjaer | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | F. Cina | 1 - 2 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | M. Bellucci | 2 - 0 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| W | Y. Watanuki | 2 - 1 | Oct. 16, 2026 |
| L | V. Kopriva | 0 - 1 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| L | A. Fils | 2 - 0 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
| W | T. Griekspoor | 2 - 0 | Oct. 8, 2026 |
| W | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | Oct. 6, 2026 |
| W | M. Damm | 1 - 2 | Oct. 5, 2026 |
All Sept. 23, 2026 results & picks →