TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Z. Sonmez (moneyline) at 5.00 in Z. Sonmez vs I. Jovic (Guadalajara on 2026-09-16).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Z. Sonmez | I. Jovic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
33.5% | 66.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
31.9% | 68.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
28.7% | 71.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
31.3% | 68.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
18.3% | 81.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 14, 2026.
| W | I. Shymanovich | 2 - 0 | Sept. 14, 2026 |
| L | C. Gauff | 0 - 2 | Sept. 1, 2026 |
| L | A. Anisimova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 15, 2026 |
| W | D. Kasatkina | 1 - 2 | Aug. 13, 2026 |
| L | M. Sakkari | 2 - 0 | Aug. 5, 2026 |
All Sept. 16, 2026 results & picks →