Z. Sonmez vs I. Jovic — Prediction & Analysis

Guadalajara · WTA Guadalajara - 1/8-finals · Sept. 16, 2026 · 16:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Z. Sonmez +6.0 (game handicap) at 1.57 in Z. Sonmez vs I. Jovic (Guadalajara on 2026-09-16). Result: WON.

Surface hard Odds Z. Sonmez 5.00 · I. Jovic 1.12

Bot bet

Z. Sonmez +6.0 (game handicap) @ 1.57 · 1.7u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: Z. Sonmez · I. Jovic · head-to-head record · Guadalajara

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method Z. Sonmez I. Jovic
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
33.5% 66.5%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
31.9% 68.2%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
28.7% 71.3%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
31.3% 68.7%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
18.3% 81.7%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
Z. Sonmez hard1726 103–77180
I. Jovic hard1902 82–38120

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 6, 2026.

Head to head

I. Jovic leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Sept. 16, 2026GuadalajarahardI. Jovic2 - 0

Recent form

Z. Sonmez

L C. Liu 0 - 2 Nov. 6, 2026
W M. Stojsavljevic 0 - 2 Nov. 5, 2026
W D. Yastremska 0 - 2 Nov. 3, 2026
L J. Teichmann 2 - 1 Oct. 29, 2026
W S. Sorribes Tormo 1 - 2 Oct. 27, 2026

I. Jovic

L D. Shnaider 1 - 2 Oct. 23, 2026
W J. Paolini 2 - 0 Oct. 22, 2026
L M. Chwalinska 0 - 2 Oct. 15, 2026
W D. Yastremska 2 - 0 Oct. 14, 2026
L I. Swiatek 0 - 2 Oct. 7, 2026

All Sept. 16, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →