AI match preview for M. Frech vs C. Dolehide (Guadalajara on 2026-09-16): models, form and the market read. No bot verdict is published for this match yet. M. Frech is the market favourite at 1.53.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Frech | C. Dolehide |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
64.7% | 35.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
69.7% | 30.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
43.7% | 56.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
59.4% | 40.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
62.0% | 38.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Frech | hard | 1764 | 125–101 | 226 |
| C. Dolehide | hard | 1671 | 106–93 | 199 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 14, 2026.
| W | N. Hibino | 2 - 0 | Sept. 14, 2026 |
| L | I. Jovic | 2 - 0 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| L | E. Rybakina | 0 - 2 | Aug. 17, 2026 |
| W | J. Ostapenko | 0 - 2 | Aug. 15, 2026 |
| W | A. Ruzic | 0 - 2 | Aug. 13, 2026 |
| W | R. Zarazua | 1 - 2 | Sept. 14, 2026 |
| W | S. Sorribes Tormo | 1 - 2 | Sept. 13, 2026 |
| W | M. Xu | 0 - 2 | Sept. 12, 2026 |
| L | V. Podrez | 1 - 2 | Aug. 24, 2026 |
| L | D. Parry | 2 - 0 | Aug. 13, 2026 |
All Sept. 16, 2026 results & picks →