TENNISEDGE.GG

Z. Kulambayeva vs N. Fossa Huergo — Prediction & Analysis

Parma · Parma - Final · May 11, 2026 · 11:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in Z. Kulambayeva vs N. Fossa Huergo (Parma on 2026-05-11) — the market is efficient, with Z. Kulambayeva favoured at 1.22.

Surface clay Odds Z. Kulambayeva 1.22 · N. Fossa Huergo 4.00

Verdict: no bet

The model found no value at current prices — the market has this one priced about right. That verdict is part of the public record too.
Profiles: Z. Kulambayeva · N. Fossa Huergo · head-to-head record · Parma

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method Z. Kulambayeva N. Fossa Huergo
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
63.5% 36.5%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
84.4% 15.6%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
65.1% 34.9%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
71.0% 29.0%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
76.6% 23.4%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
Z. Kulambayeva clay1487 107–69176
N. Fossa Huergo clay1361 116–94210

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 28, 2026.

Head to head

Z. Kulambayeva leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
May 11, 2026ParmaclayZ. Kulambayeva2 - 0
Oct. 3, 2024W75 Sao PauloclayN. Fossa Huergo2 - 0
May 6, 2021W15 Cairo 8clayZ. Kulambayeva2 - 1

Recent form

Z. Kulambayeva

L A. Lazaro Garcia 0 - 2 July 28, 2026
L L. Romero Gormaz 2 - 0 July 13, 2026
W L. Zaar 2 - 0 July 12, 2026
L L. S. Steur J. 0 - 2 July 9, 2026
W N. Brancaccio 1 - 2 July 8, 2026

N. Fossa Huergo

L Z. Kulambayeva 2 - 0 May 11, 2026
L E. Andreeva 0 - 1 Feb. 17, 2026
L M. Kuramochi 0 - 2 Feb. 2, 2026
L M. Matsuda 0 - 2 Feb. 1, 2026
W H. Kuwata 2 - 0 Jan. 31, 2026

All May 11, 2026 results & picks →

Full analysis

Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used