TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Bandecchi vs S. Sakellaridi (Parma on 2026-05-11) — the market is efficient, with S. Bandecchi favoured at 1.28.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Bandecchi | S. Sakellaridi |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.9% | 45.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
66.3% | 33.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
62.2% | 37.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
61.1% | 38.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
73.2% | 26.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bandecchi | hard | 1628 | 96–65 | 161 |
| S. Sakellaridi | clay | 1312 | 184–162 | 346 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
S. Bandecchi leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Parma | clay | S. Bandecchi | 2 - 0 |
| W | V. Hruncakova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | X. Gao | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | A. Gasanova | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | H. Shi | 2 - 0 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | C. Buyukakcay | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| L | F. Ferro | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | A. Vrancken Peeters | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | M. Tona | 1 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | V. Steiner | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | A. Granwehr | 2 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
All May 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used