TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Boisson vs D. Salkova (Parma on 2026-05-11) — the market is efficient, with L. Boisson favoured at 1.73.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Boisson | D. Salkova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
76.1% | 23.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
73.5% | 26.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
62.2% | 37.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
70.6% | 29.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
54.8% | 45.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Boisson | clay | 1739 | 82–39 | 121 |
| D. Salkova | clay | 1614 | 97–70 | 167 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated May 26, 2026.
D. Salkova leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Parma | clay | D. Salkova | 2 - 1 |
| Oct. 14, 2023 | ITF W25 Seville Women | clay | D. Salkova | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Ruzic | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | E. Arango | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | E. Rybakina | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | S. Sierra | 1 - 2 | June 10, 2026 |
| L | A. Kalinskaya | 2 - 0 | May 26, 2026 |
| L | L. Pigossi | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Rus | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A-L. Friedsam | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | L. Boskovic | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
All May 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used