TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in Z. Bergs vs T. Atmane (Rome on 2026-05-06) — the market is efficient, with Z. Bergs favoured at 1.59.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Z. Bergs | T. Atmane |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
61.6% | 38.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
66.0% | 34.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
54.6% | 45.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.7% | 39.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
59.6% | 40.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 27, 2026.
T. Atmane leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Rome | clay | T. Atmane | 2 - 0 |
| L | T. Fritz | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Fery | 2 - 3 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | J. Faria | 3 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | U. Humbert | 2 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | U. Humbert | 2 - 1 | June 28, 2026 |
All May 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used