TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in Y. Wu vs M. Giron (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with Y. Wu favoured at 1.90.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Y. Wu | M. Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
64.5% | 35.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
64.0% | 36.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
74.6% | 25.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
67.7% | 32.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.0% | 50.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 17, 2026.
Y. Wu leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | French Open | clay | Y. Wu | 3 - 0 |
| L | Y. Bu | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | C. Langmo | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | P. Marinkov | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| W | P. Maloney | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | S. Kozlov | 2 - 1 | July 9, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used