TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Norrie vs D. Vallejo (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with C. Norrie favoured at 1.90.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Norrie | D. Vallejo |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
30.1% | 69.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
27.0% | 73.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
44.1% | 55.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
33.7% | 66.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.0% | 50.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Norrie | hard | 1843 | 125–89 | 214 |
| D. Vallejo | clay | 1769 | 137–86 | 223 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
D. Vallejo leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | French Open | clay | D. Vallejo | 1 - 0 |
| W | C. Ugo Carabelli | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | D. Shapovalov | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | B. Tomic | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | J. Duckworth | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Kovacevic | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | J. Shang | 0 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | K. Feldbausch | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | L. Darderi | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | S. Travaglia | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | B. Van De Zandschulp | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used