TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Khachanov vs A. Gea (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with K. Khachanov favoured at 1.25.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Khachanov | A. Gea |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
59.8% | 40.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
71.5% | 28.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
42.1% | 57.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
57.8% | 42.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
76.2% | 23.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Khachanov | hard | 1781 | 120–84 | 204 |
| A. Gea | clay | 1586 | 72–67 | 139 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
K. Khachanov leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | French Open | clay | K. Khachanov | 3 - 0 |
| L | B. Tomic | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | F. Cobolli | 2 - 3 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | Y. Hanfmann | 3 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | B. Harris | 3 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | M. Damm | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | D. Shapovalov | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | C. Wong | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | F. Cerundolo | 1 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | M. Zheng | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | S. Kwon | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used