TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in Y. Putintseva vs T. Valentova (Rome on 2026-05-06) — the market is efficient, with T. Valentova favoured at 1.71.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Y. Putintseva | T. Valentova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
39.5% | 60.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
34.3% | 65.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
64.8% | 35.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
46.2% | 53.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
44.4% | 55.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Putintseva | hard | 1750 | 113–90 | 203 |
| T. Valentova | hard | 1814 | 74–23 | 97 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Rome | clay | T. Valentova | 2 - 0 |
| April 22, 2026 | Madrid | clay | Y. Putintseva | 2 - 1 |
| L | S. Zhang | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | E. Avanesyan | 2 - 1 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | M. Barthel | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 1 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Charaeva | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | T. Townsend | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | M. Bouzkova | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | M. Joint | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | P. Hon | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
All May 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used