TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in Y. Hanfmann vs M. Schoenhaus (Hamburg on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with Y. Hanfmann favoured at 1.25.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Y. Hanfmann | M. Schoenhaus |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
75.3% | 24.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
84.9% | 15.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
73.4% | 26.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
77.9% | 22.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
76.2% | 23.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Hanfmann | clay | 1810 | 123–82 | 205 |
| M. Schoenhaus | clay | 1615 | 29–25 | 54 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 24, 2026.
Y. Hanfmann leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Hamburg | clay | Y. Hanfmann | 2 - 1 |
| W | B. Bonzi | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | Q. Halys | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | S. Baez | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | M. Trungelliti | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | L. Neumayer | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | F. A. Gomez | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | M. Houkes | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | A. Santamarta Roig | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | L. Djere | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | R. A. Burruchaga | 0 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used