TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Auger-Aliassime vs V. Kopriva (Hamburg on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with F. Auger-Aliassime favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Auger-Aliassime | V. Kopriva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
37.2% | 62.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
43.0% | 57.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
44.7% | 55.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
41.6% | 58.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
69.6% | 30.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Auger-Aliassime | hard | 1996 | 169–85 | 254 |
| V. Kopriva | clay | 1729 | 139–96 | 235 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated April 4, 2026.
F. Auger-Aliassime leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Hamburg | clay | F. Auger-Aliassime | 2 - 0 |
| L | N. Djokovic | 2 - 3 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | A. Davidovich Fokina | 3 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | M. Zheng | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Prizmic | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Shevchenko | 3 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| W | A. Galarneau | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | I. Buse | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | D. Prizmic | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | J. Choinski | 0 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | E. Quinn | 2 - 1 | June 25, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used