TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in Y. H. Hsu vs A. Galarneau (Stuttgart on 2026-06-06) — the market is efficient, with A. Galarneau favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Y. H. Hsu | A. Galarneau |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
24.3% | 75.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
14.4% | 85.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
56.0% | 44.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
31.6% | 68.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
41.1% | 58.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. H. Hsu | hard | 1598 | 217–120 | 337 |
| A. Galarneau | hard | 1616 | 151–116 | 267 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
A. Galarneau leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 6, 2026 | Stuttgart | grass | A. Galarneau | 2 - 1 |
| L | S. Gorzny | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Mmoh | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | T. Samuel | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | M. Rottgering | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | J. D. Hara Friend | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | V. Kopriva | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | T. Zink | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | K. Uchida | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | J. Fearnley | 1 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
All June 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used