TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Shimabukuro vs S. Sakellaridis (Stuttgart on 2026-06-06) — the market is efficient, with S. Shimabukuro favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Shimabukuro | S. Sakellaridis |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
29.4% | 70.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
21.9% | 78.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
25.6% | 74.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
64.5% | 35.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Shimabukuro | hard | 1657 | 165–116 | 281 |
| S. Sakellaridis | hard | 1685 | 136–90 | 226 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 6, 2026 | Stuttgart | grass | S. Shimabukuro | 2 - 0 |
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | S. Sakellaridis | 2 - 1 |
| L | M. Cilic | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| W | N. Budkov Kjaer | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | R. Pacheco Mendez | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | J. Faria | 1 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | F. Tiafoe | 2 - 0 | June 17, 2026 |
| L | O. Tarvet | 3 - 0 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | F. Coria | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | Y. H. Hsu | 0 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | T. Droguet | 2 - 0 | June 18, 2026 |
| W | C. Tabur | 1 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
All June 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used