TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in V. Mboko vs N. Bartunkova (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with V. Mboko favoured at 1.32.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | V. Mboko | N. Bartunkova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.3% | 58.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
30.5% | 69.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
35.9% | 64.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
71.8% | 28.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Mboko | hard | 2038 | 98–34 | 132 |
| N. Bartunkova | clay | 1676 | 72–40 | 112 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 24, 2026.
V. Mboko leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | French Open | clay | V. Mboko | 2 - 0 |
| L | Ka. Pliskova | 0 - 1 | June 10, 2026 |
| L | M. Keys | 1 - 2 | May 30, 2026 |
| W | K. Siniakova | 2 - 1 | May 28, 2026 |
| W | N. Bartunkova | 2 - 0 | May 26, 2026 |
| L | E. Navarro | 1 - 2 | May 23, 2026 |
| W | B. Andreescu | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | L. Tararudee | 1 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | Y. Yuan | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 0 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | K. Siniakova | 0 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used