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V. Kopriva vs C. Moutet — Prediction & Analysis

French Open · ATP French Open - 1/64-finals · May 24, 2026 · 11:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in V. Kopriva vs C. Moutet (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with C. Moutet favoured at 1.61.

Surface clay Odds V. Kopriva 2.30 · C. Moutet 1.61

Verdict: no bet

The model found no value at current prices — the market has this one priced about right. That verdict is part of the public record too.
Profiles: V. Kopriva · C. Moutet · head-to-head record · French Open

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method V. Kopriva C. Moutet
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
64.3% 35.7%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
60.8% 39.2%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
81.0% 19.0%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
68.7% 31.3%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
41.2% 58.8%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
V. Kopriva clay1729 139–96235
C. Moutet hard1763 93–73166

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 20, 2026.

Head to head

V. Kopriva leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
May 26, 2026French OpenclayV. Kopriva3 - 2

Recent form

V. Kopriva

W A. Galarneau 0 - 2 Aug. 3, 2026
L I. Buse 1 - 2 July 20, 2026
L D. Prizmic 0 - 2 July 13, 2026
L J. Choinski 0 - 3 June 30, 2026
L E. Quinn 2 - 1 June 25, 2026

C. Moutet

W M. Fucsovics 0 - 2 Aug. 4, 2026
L J. Brooksby 2 - 0 July 29, 2026
L J. Fonseca 3 - 1 July 18, 2026
L C. Norrie 3 - 1 July 17, 2026
L T. Griekspoor 2 - 3 July 16, 2026

All May 24, 2026 results & picks →

Full analysis

Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used