TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in V. Golubic vs F. Urgesi (Rome on 2026-05-06) — the market is efficient, with V. Golubic favoured at 1.40.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | V. Golubic | F. Urgesi |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.2% | 58.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
36.6% | 63.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
33.7% | 66.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
37.2% | 62.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
67.4% | 32.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Golubic | hard | 1724 | 118–68 | 186 |
| F. Urgesi | clay | 1527 | 52–61 | 113 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
V. Golubic leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Parma | clay | V. Golubic | 2 - 0 |
| May 6, 2026 | Rome | clay | V. Golubic | 2 - 0 |
| W | K. Birrell | 0 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | K. Volynets | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | J. Paolini | 2 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | I. Shymanovich | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | E. Navarro | 2 - 0 | June 20, 2026 |
| W | A. Van Impe | 2 - 1 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | B. Palicova | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | D. Martynov | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | C. Burel | Walk Over | July 22, 2026 |
| W | E. Yaneva | 2 - 1 | July 20, 2026 |
All May 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used