TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in V. Erjavec vs E. Rybakina (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with E. Rybakina favoured at 1.02.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | V. Erjavec | E. Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
39.9% | 60.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
21.1% | 78.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
35.9% | 64.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
32.3% | 67.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
5.7% | 94.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Erjavec | clay | 1662 | 143–85 | 228 |
| E. Rybakina | hard | 2149 | 174–69 | 243 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 13, 2026.
E. Rybakina leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | French Open | clay | E. Rybakina | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Romero Gormaz | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | J. Grabher | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | G. Feistel | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Barthel | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | V. Bosio | 2 - 1 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | E. Mertens | 2 - 0 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | C. McNally | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | L. Boisson | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 2 - 0 | June 18, 2026 |
| W | T. Maria | 2 - 1 | June 12, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used