U. Humbert vs M. Bellucci — Prediction & Analysis

Eastbourne · ATP Eastbourne - 1/16-finals · June 22, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Bellucci (moneyline) in U. Humbert vs M. Bellucci (Eastbourne on 2026-06-22).

Surface grass Odds U. Humbert 1.53 · M. Bellucci 2.50

Bot bet

M. Bellucci (moneyline) · 2.5u
Pending — published before the match, graded in public.
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: U. Humbert · M. Bellucci · head-to-head record · Eastbourne

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method U. Humbert M. Bellucci
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
47.4% 52.6%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
51.3% 48.7%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
45.9% 54.1%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
48.2% 51.8%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
62.0% 38.0%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
U. Humbert grass1748 33–2659
M. Bellucci grass1697 22–1739

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 30, 2026.

Head to head

U. Humbert leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
June 23, 2026EastbournegrassU. Humbert2 - 1

Recent form

U. Humbert

L L. Musetti 2 - 1 Nov. 12, 2026
W B. Gojo 0 - 2 Nov. 11, 2026
W D. Vallejo 0 - 2 Nov. 9, 2026
L M. Berrettini 2 - 0 Nov. 4, 2026
W B. Van De Zandschulp 2 - 1 Nov. 2, 2026

M. Bellucci

L S. Gueymard Wayenburg 1 - 2 Nov. 11, 2026
W C. Rolland de Ravel 2 - 0 Nov. 10, 2026
L A. Rinderknech 0 - 2 Nov. 4, 2026
W L. Sonego 2 - 0 Nov. 2, 2026
W T. A. Tirante 0 - 2 Nov. 1, 2026

All June 22, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →