TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in U. Humbert vs K. Khachanov (Hamburg on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with K. Khachanov favoured at 1.50.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | U. Humbert | K. Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
28.6% | 71.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
22.8% | 77.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
49.5% | 50.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
33.6% | 66.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
36.6% | 63.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U. Humbert | hard | 1831 | 131–80 | 211 |
| K. Khachanov | hard | 1781 | 120–84 | 204 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
U. Humbert leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Hamburg | clay | U. Humbert | 2 - 1 |
| Nov. 2, 2024 | ATP Paris | hard | U. Humbert | 2 - 1 |
| July 29, 2021 | Olympic Games | hard | K. Khachanov | 2 - 1 |
| L | B. Shelton | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Martin | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | Z. Bergs | 2 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | Z. Bergs | 2 - 1 | June 28, 2026 |
| W | J. Draper | 0 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
| L | B. Tomic | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | F. Cobolli | 2 - 3 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | Y. Hanfmann | 3 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | B. Harris | 3 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | M. Damm | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used