TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in U. Humbert vs A. Mannarino (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with U. Humbert favoured at 1.12.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | U. Humbert | A. Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
71.0% | 28.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
75.1% | 24.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
77.2% | 22.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
74.5% | 25.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
84.3% | 15.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U. Humbert | hard | 1831 | 131–80 | 211 |
| A. Mannarino | hard | 1711 | 105–111 | 216 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
Level at 2–2 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | French Open | clay | U. Humbert | 3 - 0 |
| Feb. 4, 2026 | Montpellier | hard | A. Mannarino | 2 - 1 |
| July 22, 2023 | ATP Newport | grass | A. Mannarino | 2 - 0 |
| May 28, 2023 | ATP French Open | clay | U. Humbert | 3 - 0 |
| L | B. Shelton | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Martin | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | Z. Bergs | 2 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | Z. Bergs | 2 - 1 | June 28, 2026 |
| W | J. Draper | 0 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
| L | A. Michelsen | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | L. Tien | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Galarneau | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | R. Bertola | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | A. De Minaur | 3 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used