TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. Rakotomanga Rajaonah vs M. Ristic (Brescia (Italy) - Qualification on 2026-06-17) — the market is efficient, with M. Ristic favoured at 1.76.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Rakotomanga Rajaonah | M. Ristic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.4% | 58.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
41.1% | 58.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
42.5% | 57.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
45.0% | 55.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
46.6% | 53.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Rakotomanga Rajaonah | clay | 1528 | 76–49 | 125 |
| M. Ristic | clay | 1631 | 105–72 | 177 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 19, 2026.
T. Rakotomanga Rajaonah leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 17, 2026 | Brescia (Italy) - Qualification | clay | T. Rakotomanga Rajaonah | 2 - 1 |
| L | L. Zhu | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | C. Y. Lee | 2 - 1 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 0 - 2 | June 19, 2026 |
| W | M. Ristic | 2 - 1 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | Y. Lizarazo | 2 - 0 | June 15, 2026 |
| L | L. Samson | 2 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | Y. Kotliar | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | D. Semenistaja | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | N. Brancaccio | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | V. Turini | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
All June 17, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used