TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Ortenzi vs E. Yaneva (Brescia (Italy) - Qualification on 2026-06-17) — the market is efficient, with E. Yaneva favoured at 1.58.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Ortenzi | E. Yaneva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
58.7% | 41.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
39.7% | 60.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
44.5% | 55.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
46.9% | 53.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
41.8% | 58.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ortenzi | clay | 1581 | 165–76 | 241 |
| E. Yaneva | hard | 1703 | 38–15 | 53 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 18, 2026.
E. Yaneva leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 18, 2026 | Brescia (Italy) - Qualification | clay | E. Yaneva | 2 - 0 |
| L | K. Sebov | 2 - 1 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | E. Yaneva | 0 - 2 | June 18, 2026 |
| W | F. Pace | 2 - 0 | June 16, 2026 |
| L | K. Quevedo | 2 - 0 | June 8, 2026 |
| W | V. Turini | 2 - 1 | June 7, 2026 |
| W | L. Klimovicova | 1 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | F. Urgesi | 2 - 1 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | M. Trevisan | 1 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | S. Lansere | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | O. Selekhmeteva | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
All June 17, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used