TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Ferro vs E. Gorgodze (Brescia (Italy) - Qualification on 2026-06-17) — the market is efficient, with F. Ferro favoured at 1.14.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Ferro | E. Gorgodze |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
66.1% | 33.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
78.3% | 21.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
51.9% | 48.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
75.9% | 24.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
80.0% | 20.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Ferro | clay | 1649 | 68–54 | 122 |
| E. Gorgodze | clay | 1522 | 120–114 | 234 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 17, 2026 | Brescia (Italy) - Qualification | clay | E. Gorgodze | 2 - 1 |
| Jan. 21, 2026 | W75 Manama | hard | F. Ferro | 1 - 1 |
| L | B. Palicova | 2 - 1 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | E. Bennemann | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | T. J. Brockmann | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | N. Basiletti | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | S. Sakellaridi | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | Y. Kabbaj | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | A. Mintegi Del Olmo | 2 - 1 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | A. Soboleva | 0 - 1 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | T. Kostovic | 2 - 0 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | J. Riera | 2 - 0 | July 10, 2026 |
All June 17, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used