TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Grabher vs A. Soboleva (Brescia (Italy) - Qualification on 2026-06-17) — the market is efficient, with J. Grabher favoured at 1.37.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Grabher | A. Soboleva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
69.7% | 30.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
66.9% | 33.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
47.2% | 52.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
67.9% | 32.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
67.1% | 32.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Grabher | clay | 1666 | 159–94 | 253 |
| A. Soboleva | clay | 1606 | 149–86 | 235 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 13, 2026.
A. Soboleva leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 17, 2026 | Brescia (Italy) - Qualification | clay | A. Soboleva | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Siskova | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | L. S. Steur J. | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | V. Wolff | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | I. Primorac | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | E. Perelygina | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | L. Samson | 0 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | S. Janicijevic | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Siskova | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | C. Buyukakcay | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | G. M. Dittmann | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
All June 17, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used