TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. Paul vs E. Quinn (Hamburg on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with T. Paul favoured at 1.32.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Paul | E. Quinn |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
68.6% | 31.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
73.8% | 26.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
64.8% | 35.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
69.1% | 30.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
71.8% | 28.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 28, 2026.
T. Paul leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Hamburg | clay | T. Paul | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 7, 2025 | Dallas | hard | T. Paul | 2 - 1 |
| July 19, 2023 | ATP Newport | grass | T. Paul | 2 - 0 |
| L | K. Majchrzak | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | H. Hurkacz | 3 - 1 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | S. Kwon | 0 - 3 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Muller | 0 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | N. Djokovic | 1 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
| L | S. Mochizuki | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | L. Darderi | 3 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | A. Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 | June 27, 2026 |
| W | N. Borges | 0 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
| W | V. Kopriva | 2 - 1 | June 25, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used