TennisEdge's AI bot is backing T. Maria (moneyline) in T. Maria vs T. Valentova (Eastbourne on 2026-06-25).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Maria | T. Valentova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
73.7% | 26.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
53.8% | 46.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
71.3% | 28.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
66.3% | 33.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
56.8% | 43.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Maria | grass | 1864 | 52–24 | 76 |
| T. Valentova | grass | 1567 | 5–6 | 11 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 12, 2026.
T. Maria leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 25, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | T. Maria | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Tubello | 0 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | L. Giovannini | 2 - 1 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | B. Andreescu | 1 - 2 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | F. Ferro | 2 - 1 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | V. Strakhova | 2 - 0 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 0 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | H. Sakatsume | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Pohankova | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| W | S. Zhang | 2 - 0 | Oct. 25, 2026 |
| W | E. S. Liang | 1 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
All June 25, 2026 results & picks →