T. Maria vs T. Valentova — Prediction & Analysis

Eastbourne · WTA Eastbourne - Quarter-finals · June 25, 2026 · 16:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing T. Maria (moneyline) in T. Maria vs T. Valentova (Eastbourne on 2026-06-25).

Surface grass Odds T. Maria 1.67 · T. Valentova 2.20

Bot bet

T. Maria (moneyline) · 0.8u
Pending — published before the match, graded in public.
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: T. Maria · T. Valentova · head-to-head record · Eastbourne

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method T. Maria T. Valentova
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
73.7% 26.3%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
53.8% 46.2%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
71.3% 28.7%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
66.3% 33.7%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
56.8% 43.2%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
T. Maria grass1864 52–2476
T. Valentova grass1567 5–611

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 12, 2026.

Head to head

T. Maria leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
June 25, 2026EastbournegrassT. Maria2 - 0

Recent form

T. Maria

L A. Tubello 0 - 2 Nov. 11, 2026
W L. Giovannini 2 - 1 Nov. 9, 2026
L B. Andreescu 1 - 2 Nov. 1, 2026
W F. Ferro 2 - 1 Nov. 1, 2026
W V. Strakhova 2 - 0 Oct. 30, 2026

T. Valentova

L A. Eala 0 - 2 Nov. 5, 2026
W H. Sakatsume 0 - 2 Nov. 3, 2026
L M. Pohankova 0 - 2 Oct. 27, 2026
W S. Zhang 2 - 0 Oct. 25, 2026
W E. S. Liang 1 - 2 Oct. 24, 2026

All June 25, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →