TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Choinski (moneyline) in J. Choinski vs Z. Bergs (Eastbourne on 2026-06-25).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Choinski | Z. Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.7% | 58.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
34.9% | 65.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
38.3% | 61.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
32.4% | 67.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Choinski | grass | 1576 | 10–14 | 24 |
| Z. Bergs | grass | 1746 | 31–17 | 48 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 2, 2026.
Z. Bergs leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 25, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | Z. Bergs | 2 - 0 |
| June 16, 2024 | ATP London | grass | Z. Bergs | 2 - 1 |
| Dec. 31, 2023 | ATP Hong Kong | hard | J. Choinski | 2 - 0 |
| L | B. Van De Zandschulp | 0 - 3 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| L | M. Rottgering | 1 - 2 | Aug. 24, 2026 |
| L | T. Daniel | 0 - 2 | Aug. 20, 2026 |
| L | T. A. Tirante | 2 - 1 | Aug. 13, 2026 |
| W | J. Mackenzie | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | H. Rune | 2 - 0 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | I. Buse | 2 - 0 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | H. Hurkacz | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | J-L. Struff | 2 - 0 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | D. Dzumhur | 0 - 2 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
All June 25, 2026 results & picks →