J. Draper vs G. Diallo — Prediction & Analysis

Eastbourne · ATP Eastbourne - Quarter-finals · June 25, 2026 · 15:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Draper (moneyline) in J. Draper vs G. Diallo (Eastbourne on 2026-06-25).

Surface grass Odds J. Draper 1.39 · G. Diallo 2.75

Bot bet

J. Draper (moneyline) · 1.1u
Pending — published before the match, graded in public.
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: J. Draper · G. Diallo · head-to-head record · Eastbourne

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method J. Draper G. Diallo
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
67.9% 32.1%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
50.6% 49.4%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
78.3% 21.7%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
65.6% 34.4%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
66.4% 33.6%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
J. Draper grass1839 24–1135
G. Diallo grass1694 20–1636

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 26, 2026.

Head to head

J. Draper leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
June 25, 2026EastbournegrassJ. Draper2 - 0

Recent form

J. Draper

L M. Landaluce 2 - 0 Aug. 13, 2026
L T. Atmane 2 - 1 Aug. 4, 2026
L U. Humbert 0 - 2 June 26, 2026
W G. Diallo 2 - 0 June 25, 2026
W J. Pinnington Jones 2 - 0 June 24, 2026

G. Diallo

L F. Maestrelli 1 - 0 Oct. 28, 2026
W N. Basavareddy 2 - 0 Oct. 26, 2026
L R. Sakamoto 1 - 2 Oct. 18, 2026
W H. Mayot 2 - 0 Oct. 17, 2026
L L. Darderi 1 - 0 Aug. 5, 2026

All June 25, 2026 results & picks →

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