TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. Machac vs Z. Bergs (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with T. Machac favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Machac | Z. Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
49.3% | 50.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
53.3% | 46.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
63.3% | 36.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
55.3% | 44.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.2% | 39.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 21, 2026.
T. Machac leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | French Open | clay | T. Machac | 3 - 0 |
| Nov. 18, 2022 | Helsinki | hard | T. Machac | 2 - 0 |
| July 7, 2021 | Braunschweig | clay | Z. Bergs | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Zverev | 0 - 3 | May 27, 2026 |
| W | Z. Bergs | 3 - 0 | May 24, 2026 |
| W | S. Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | May 7, 2026 |
| L | C. Norrie | 2 - 1 | April 24, 2026 |
| W | F. Comesana | 2 - 1 | April 22, 2026 |
| L | T. Fritz | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Fery | 2 - 3 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | J. Faria | 3 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | U. Humbert | 2 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | U. Humbert | 2 - 1 | June 28, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used