TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. M. Etcheverry vs N. Borges (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with T. M. Etcheverry favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. M. Etcheverry | N. Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
61.5% | 38.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
49.4% | 50.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
83.3% | 16.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
64.7% | 35.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
65.6% | 34.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. M. Etcheverry | clay | 1796 | 187–98 | 285 |
| N. Borges | hard | 1773 | 128–74 | 202 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 24, 2026.
N. Borges leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | French Open | clay | N. Borges | 3 - 0 |
| April 15, 2026 | Barcelona | clay | N. Borges | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 13, 2026 | Auckland | hard | N. Borges | 2 - 1 |
| L | B. Nakashima | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Bublik | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | I. Buse | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | J. Rodionov | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | D. Merida Aguilar | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | A. Kovacevic | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | R. A. Burruchaga | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | O. Luz | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | L. Darderi | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | G. Dimitrov | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used