TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. Gibson vs Y. Putintseva (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with Y. Putintseva favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Gibson | Y. Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
27.7% | 72.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
13.4% | 86.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
55.0% | 45.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
32.0% | 68.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
29.8% | 70.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Gibson | hard | 1825 | 179–94 | 273 |
| Y. Putintseva | hard | 1750 | 113–90 | 203 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
Y. Putintseva leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | French Open | clay | Y. Putintseva | 2 - 1 |
| Oct. 12, 2025 | Ningbo | hard | Y. Putintseva | 2 - 1 |
| W | E. Cocciaretto | 1 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | T. Maria | 0 - 2 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | M. Bouzkova | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | M. Keys | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | Ka. Pliskova | 2 - 0 | June 19, 2026 |
| L | S. Zhang | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | E. Avanesyan | 2 - 1 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | M. Barthel | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 1 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Charaeva | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used