TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. A. Tirante vs G. Cadenasso (Rome on 2026-05-06) — the market is efficient, with T. A. Tirante favoured at 1.47.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. A. Tirante | G. Cadenasso |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
51.0% | 49.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
64.4% | 35.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
62.2% | 37.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
59.2% | 40.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
64.5% | 35.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. A. Tirante | clay | 1806 | 156–120 | 276 |
| G. Cadenasso | clay | 1634 | 101–62 | 163 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 17, 2026.
T. A. Tirante leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Rome | clay | T. A. Tirante | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Tabilo | Walk Over | July 17, 2026 |
| W | N. Basilashvili | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | S. Ofner | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | F. Marozsan | 0 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | T. Samuel | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| L | F. Cina | 0 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | D. Merida Aguilar | 0 - 1 | June 1, 2026 |
| L | L. Riedi | 1 - 2 | May 20, 2026 |
| W | L. Broady | 0 - 2 | May 19, 2026 |
| L | T. A. Tirante | 2 - 1 | May 7, 2026 |
All May 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used