TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Wawrinka vs A. Fils (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with A. Fils favoured at 1.11.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Wawrinka | A. Fils |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
18.0% | 82.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
28.2% | 71.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
15.0% | 85.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
20.4% | 79.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
14.6% | 85.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wawrinka | hard | 1720 | 58–54 | 112 |
| A. Fils | hard | 1933 | 90–61 | 151 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Feb. 25, 2026.
A. Fils leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb. 24, 2023 | Marseille | hard | A. Fils | 2 - 0 |
| L | R. A. Burruchaga | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | J. Faria | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | M. Berrettini | 1 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | J. De Jong | 1 - 3 | May 25, 2026 |
| L | A. Michelsen | 0 - 2 | May 20, 2026 |
| L | R. Jodar | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | M. Berrettini | 3 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | R. Collignon | 0 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | T. Paul | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | J. Mensik | 1 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used