TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Kraus vs B. Bencic (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with B. Bencic favoured at 1.27.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Kraus | B. Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
68.6% | 31.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
75.5% | 24.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
44.0% | 56.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.7% | 37.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
23.6% | 76.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
B. Bencic leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | French Open | clay | B. Bencic | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Charaeva | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | D. Semenistaja | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | J. Grabher | 0 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | M. Bassols | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | E. Andreeva | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| L | C. Gauff | 1 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | A. Kalinskaya | 2 - 1 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | Xin. Wang | 2 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Stojsavljevic | 2 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Svitolina | 2 - 1 | May 31, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used