TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Kenin vs P. Stearns (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with P. Stearns favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Kenin | P. Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
35.3% | 64.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
19.5% | 80.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
50.0% | 50.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
35.0% | 65.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
34.4% | 65.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Kenin | hard | 1633 | 87–86 | 173 |
| P. Stearns | hard | 1745 | 97–74 | 171 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
P. Stearns leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | French Open | clay | P. Stearns | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 19, 2026 | WTA Australian Open | hard | P. Stearns | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Stefanini | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | E. Navarro | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Anisimova | 2 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | P. Marcinko | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
| L | G. Ruse | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | E. Kalieva | 2 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | T. Prozorova | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Stoiana | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | N. Bartunkova | 1 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used