S. Cirstea vs L. Noskova — Prediction & Analysis

Wimbledon · WTA Wimbledon - 1/16-finals · July 4, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing S. Cirstea (moneyline) in S. Cirstea vs L. Noskova (Wimbledon on 2026-07-04).

Surface grass Odds S. Cirstea 2.56 · L. Noskova 1.43

Bot bet

S. Cirstea (moneyline) · 1.5u
Pending — published before the match, graded in public.
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: S. Cirstea · L. Noskova · head-to-head record · Wimbledon

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method S. Cirstea L. Noskova
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
15.9% 84.1%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
45.6% 54.4%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
15.9% 84.1%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
35.8% 64.2%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
S. Cirstea grass1570 12–1628
L. Noskova grass1984 24–1034

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 4, 2026.

Head to head

Level at 3–3 over 6 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 4, 2026WimbledongrassL. Noskova2 - 1
May 11, 2026RomeclayS. Cirstea2 - 0
March 20, 2026MiamihardS. Cirstea2 - 1
March 8, 2026WTA Indian WellshardL. Noskova2 - 1
Feb. 17, 2026WTA DubaihardS. Cirstea2 - 0

Recent form

S. Cirstea

L A. Shubladze 0 - 2 Nov. 6, 2026
W M. Stoiana 2 - 0 Nov. 5, 2026
W M. Timofeeva 2 - 1 Nov. 3, 2026
L M. Joint 2 - 0 Oct. 27, 2026
L S. Bejlek 0 - 2 Oct. 21, 2026

L. Noskova

L J. Pegula 2 - 1 Nov. 12, 2026
W C. Gauff 0 - 2 Nov. 10, 2026
W M. Kostyuk 0 - 2 Nov. 8, 2026
L E. Alexandrova 0 - 2 Oct. 6, 2026
W V. Golubic 2 - 0 Oct. 4, 2026

All July 4, 2026 results & picks →

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