TennisEdge's AI bot is backing S. Cirstea (moneyline) in S. Cirstea vs L. Noskova (Wimbledon on 2026-07-04).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Cirstea | L. Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
15.9% | 84.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
45.6% | 54.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
15.9% | 84.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
35.8% | 64.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Cirstea | grass | 1570 | 12–16 | 28 |
| L. Noskova | grass | 1984 | 24–10 | 34 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 4, 2026.
Level at 3–3 over 6 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 4, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | L. Noskova | 2 - 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Rome | clay | S. Cirstea | 2 - 0 |
| March 20, 2026 | Miami | hard | S. Cirstea | 2 - 1 |
| March 8, 2026 | WTA Indian Wells | hard | L. Noskova | 2 - 1 |
| Feb. 17, 2026 | WTA Dubai | hard | S. Cirstea | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Shubladze | 0 - 2 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | M. Stoiana | 2 - 0 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | M. Timofeeva | 2 - 1 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Joint | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | S. Bejlek | 0 - 2 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 1 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | C. Gauff | 0 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| W | M. Kostyuk | 0 - 2 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| L | E. Alexandrova | 0 - 2 | Oct. 6, 2026 |
| W | V. Golubic | 2 - 0 | Oct. 4, 2026 |
All July 4, 2026 results & picks →