TennisEdge's AI bot is backing K. Khachanov (moneyline) in K. Khachanov vs F. Cobolli (Wimbledon on 2026-07-04).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Khachanov | F. Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
64.9% | 35.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
53.1% | 46.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
63.2% | 36.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
64.9% | 35.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
53.6% | 46.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Khachanov | grass | 1747 | 22–15 | 37 |
| F. Cobolli | grass | 1743 | 13–12 | 25 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 4, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 4, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | F. Cobolli | 3 - 2 |
| April 29, 2024 | ATP Madrid | clay | K. Khachanov | 2 - 0 |
| L | N. Borges | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | D. Shapovalov | 1 - 1 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | C. Alcaraz | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Bublik | 2 - 1 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | T. Machac | 1 - 2 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
| L | M. Berrettini | 0 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | G. Dimitrov | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | L. Musetti | 1 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| W | B. Nakashima | 2 - 1 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | S. Wawrinka | 2 - 0 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
All July 4, 2026 results & picks →