Z. Bergs vs A. Fery — Prediction & Analysis

Wimbledon · ATP Wimbledon - 1/16-finals · July 4, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Fery (moneyline) in Z. Bergs vs A. Fery (Wimbledon on 2026-07-04).

Surface grass Odds Z. Bergs 1.60 · A. Fery 2.21

Bot bet

A. Fery (moneyline) · 1.0u
Pending — published before the match, graded in public.
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: Z. Bergs · A. Fery · head-to-head record · Wimbledon

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method Z. Bergs A. Fery
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
59.1% 40.9%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
47.6% 52.4%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
53.6% 46.4%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
59.1% 40.9%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
58.0% 42.0%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
Z. Bergs grass1746 31–1748
A. Fery grass1777 31–2556

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 4, 2026.

Head to head

A. Fery leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 4, 2026WimbledongrassA. Fery3 - 2

Recent form

Z. Bergs

L H. Rune 2 - 0 Nov. 10, 2026
L I. Buse 2 - 0 Nov. 2, 2026
L H. Hurkacz 2 - 1 Oct. 27, 2026
L J-L. Struff 2 - 0 Oct. 23, 2026
W D. Dzumhur 0 - 2 Oct. 22, 2026

A. Fery

L Q. Halys 2 - 0 Nov. 3, 2026
L A. Zverev 2 - 0 Oct. 30, 2026
W L. Musetti 2 - 1 Oct. 29, 2026
W J. Fearnley 0 - 0 Oct. 26, 2026
L B. Gojo 0 - 2 Oct. 20, 2026

All July 4, 2026 results & picks →

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