TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Eala (moneyline) in A. Eala vs I. Swiatek (Wimbledon on 2026-07-04).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Eala | I. Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
34.9% | 65.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
36.9% | 63.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
56.8% | 43.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
37.7% | 62.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
24.8% | 75.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Eala | grass | 1864 | 28–13 | 41 |
| I. Swiatek | grass | 1926 | 27–8 | 35 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 6, 2026.
A. Eala leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 4, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | A. Eala | 2 - 0 |
| April 24, 2025 | Madrid | clay | I. Swiatek | 2 - 1 |
| March 26, 2025 | Miami | hard | A. Eala | 2 - 0 |
| L | C. Liu | 2 - 0 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| W | M. Sakkari | 1 - 2 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
| W | A. Ruzic | 0 - 2 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | T. Valentova | 0 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | E. Jones | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Chwalinska | 0 - 2 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Li | 0 - 2 | Oct. 16, 2026 |
| W | A. Krueger | 0 - 2 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| W | M. Frech | 0 - 2 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| L | E. Mertens | 2 - 0 | Oct. 9, 2026 |
All July 4, 2026 results & picks →