TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Bejlek vs S. Stephens (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with S. Bejlek favoured at 1.61.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Bejlek | S. Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
63.3% | 36.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
75.0% | 25.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
43.5% | 56.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.6% | 39.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
58.8% | 41.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bejlek | clay | 1747 | 137–58 | 195 |
| S. Stephens | hard | 1620 | 53–68 | 121 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 24, 2026.
S. Bejlek leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | French Open | clay | S. Bejlek | 2 - 0 |
| W | Xiy. Wang | 1 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | L. Tagger | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | M. Timofeeva | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | A. Blinkova | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | C. Tauson | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | S. Sierra | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| W | H. Dart | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | D. Vidmanova | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | Y. Starodubtseva | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | R. Zarazua | 2 - 1 | July 23, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used