TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in R. Safiullin vs P. Bar Biryukov (Stuttgart on 2026-06-06) — the market is efficient, with R. Safiullin favoured at 1.12.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | R. Safiullin | P. Bar Biryukov |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
97.1% | 2.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
88.6% | 11.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
92.9% | 7.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
84.3% | 15.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Safiullin | hard | 1715 | 107–81 | 188 |
| P. Bar Biryukov | hard | 1607 | 127–83 | 210 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 4, 2026.
R. Safiullin leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 6, 2026 | Stuttgart | grass | R. Safiullin | 2 - 1 |
| L | N. Djokovic | 1 - 3 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | J. Fonseca | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | B. Van De Zandschulp | 3 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Rublev | 2 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| W | J. Kym | 3 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| L | P. Inchauspe | 0 - 1 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| W | G. Shebekin | 2 - 1 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | D. Zhalgasbay | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | S. Mitsui | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Kunitsyn | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
All June 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used