TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in R. Collignon vs A. Vukic (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with R. Collignon favoured at 1.10.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | R. Collignon | A. Vukic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
86.7% | 13.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
86.2% | 13.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
84.7% | 15.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
85.8% | 14.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
86.4% | 13.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Collignon | clay | 1830 | 136–49 | 185 |
| A. Vukic | hard | 1732 | 146–124 | 270 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.
R. Collignon leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | French Open | clay | R. Collignon | 3 - 0 |
| Sept. 14, 2025 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | — | R. Collignon | 2 - 1 |
| May 23, 2023 | ATP French Open | clay | A. Vukic | 2 - 1 |
| L | D. Altmaier | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 2 - 1 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | J. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | V. Vacherot | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | L. Sonego | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | D. Altmaier | 1 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| W | T. Barrios Vera | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | L. Musetti | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | Z. Svajda | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| W | A. Bolt | 2 - 0 | July 26, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used