TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in Q. Halys vs M. Bellucci (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with Q. Halys favoured at 1.72.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Q. Halys | M. Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
52.3% | 47.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
54.0% | 46.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
50.5% | 49.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.3% | 47.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
55.0% | 45.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Halys | hard | 1737 | 144–107 | 251 |
| M. Bellucci | hard | 1722 | 152–98 | 250 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 25, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | French Open | clay | Q. Halys | 3 - 0 |
| June 23, 2025 | Eastbourne | grass | M. Bellucci | 2 - 0 |
| W | A. Bublik | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | Y. Hanfmann | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | M. Navone | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | V. Vacherot | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | L. Djere | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | C. Ugo Carabelli | 1 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| L | U. Humbert | 2 - 1 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | R. Collignon | 2 - 1 | June 18, 2026 |
| W | A. Bublik | 2 - 0 | June 16, 2026 |
| W | A. Bolt | 2 - 1 | June 14, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used