TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in P. Udvardy vs A. Korneeva (Rome on 2026-05-06) — the market is efficient, with P. Udvardy favoured at 1.60.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | P. Udvardy | A. Korneeva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
62.9% | 37.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
77.0% | 23.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
40.5% | 59.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.2% | 39.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
57.9% | 42.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Udvardy | clay | 1702 | 179–102 | 281 |
| A. Korneeva | hard | 1826 | 106–32 | 138 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 23, 2026.
P. Udvardy leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Rome | clay | P. Udvardy | 2 - 0 |
| W | E. Lys | 1 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | P. Badosa | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | E. Pridankina | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | P. Badosa | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | K. Kawa | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | P. Kudermetova | 1 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Stoiana | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | M. Sakkari | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | T. Valentova | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Li | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
All May 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used