TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in P. Marcinko vs D. Snigur (Eastbourne on 2026-06-21) — the market is efficient, with D. Snigur favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | P. Marcinko | D. Snigur |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
25.6% | 74.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
43.7% | 56.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
25.6% | 74.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.2% | 68.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Marcinko | clay | 1727 | 89–46 | 135 |
| D. Snigur | hard | 1728 | 175–93 | 268 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 17, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 21, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | D. Snigur | 2 - 0 |
| Nov. 28, 2025 | W75 Fujairah | hard | P. Marcinko | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. Zidansek | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | E. Avanesyan | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | N. Podoroska | 1 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | C. Burel | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | S. Kenin | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | L. Tagger | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | T. Valentova | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | L. Tararudee | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | A. Aksu | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | E. Seidel | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
All June 21, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used