TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Tomljanovic vs V. Erjavec (Eastbourne on 2026-06-21) — the market is efficient, with A. Tomljanovic favoured at 1.22.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Tomljanovic | V. Erjavec |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
64.0% | 36.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
59.0% | 41.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
57.7% | 42.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
65.0% | 35.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
76.6% | 23.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Tomljanovic | hard | 1767 | 73–69 | 142 |
| V. Erjavec | clay | 1662 | 143–85 | 228 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 20, 2026.
A. Tomljanovic leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 21, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | A. Tomljanovic | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Bolkvadze | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | T. Valentova | 2 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | E. Cocciaretto | 2 - 1 | June 22, 2026 |
| W | V. Erjavec | 2 - 0 | June 21, 2026 |
| W | C. Osorio | 0 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
| L | L. Romero Gormaz | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | J. Grabher | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | G. Feistel | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Barthel | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | V. Bosio | 2 - 1 | July 13, 2026 |
All June 21, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used